We Still Need U.S. Bases in Afghanistan

In the Washington Post, AHS speaker Michael O'Hanlon explains why the U.S. needs to stay in Afghanistan:

"The Obama administration has the wrong mind-set on our future U.S. military posture in Afghanistan. Exit should not be the strategy or objective. Protection of the homeland is the right metric. Instead of trying to leave by a given date, we should be planning to stay." 

   

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Why Russia Will Escalate

On the Center for European Policy Analysis website, AHS speaker Jakub Grygiel explains why the war in Ukraine will not be settled by negotiations and is likely to see a further escalation of Russian military involvement:

"An unresolved territorial conflict will impede Ukraine’s westward march while at the same time it will be a violent reminder of Europe’s inability to deal with military threats, the Achilles’s heel of the post-modern political architecture built in Brussels."

 

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Countering violent extremism? ‘It’s the theology, stupid’

In the American, AHS speaker Michael Rubin explains why subordinating the Islamic basis for ‘violent extremism’ to diplomatic sensitivity leads not to solutions but rather to the ridiculous:

"By performing intellectual somersaults to deny the theological basis and justification of Islamist terrorism today, and by ignoring the need to engage in a battle of interpretation within Islam, at best, the White House initiative will be ineffective. At worst, it will provide cover for extremism." 

   

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Can Russia Win?

In the Center for European Policy Analysis, AHS speaker Jakub Grygiel analyzes the effectiveness of the Obama administration's “strategic patience” with Russia:

"Doing nothing or little to respond to Putin means accepting the likelihood of him succeeding. The biggest immediate danger is the West’s fear of risk. Exploiting that unease is Russia’s surest pathway to success."

 

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Old Type Great Power Relations

In Foreign Policy, AHS co-founder Daniel Blumenthal discusses Obama's foolish acceptance of China's formula for Sino-America relations:

"America can learn from history and try not to repeat the bloody history of rising powers. High diplomacy is an essential part of U.S. China policy. Washington should do what it can to avoid conflict even as it upholds its interests in Asia. But a security competition intensifying between Beijing and Washington and no new formula for relations will erase that fact." 

   

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Rethinking European Security

In the National Interest, AHS speaker Jakub Grygiel explains why sanctions may push Russia to challenge the current status-quo:

"Instead of deterring Russia militarily while continuing to engage it economically and in energy terms, the United States and Europe have undermined territorial security while attempting to cut off Russia’s principal sources of income.  This gets the sequence of strategies wrong. Persistent sanctions without credible deterrence are likely to elicit exactly the response from Putin that the West wants to oppose.  By leaving itself open to incremental aggression fed by irredentist manipulation, the West scourges the Russian bear through economic denial, while not caging it in any viable way militarily."

 

 

 

 

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Patience Isn’t Always a Virtue

In Foreign Policy, AHS speaker Kori Schake discusses the long-overdue National Security Strategy (NSS) released by the White House on Friday:

"The United States often insists on immediate results, in international affairs as in so many other aspects of government activity. Smart strategies take into account cost-effectivness, and immediate effects are often extremely costly."

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